Surur
Surur t1_j8duljj wrote
> Step 1 is super hard to achieve and the main reason for it is, that you really need to take a HUGE amount of factors into account when driving. It requires much more than AI can deliver right now.
But may be not for too long in the future.
Surur t1_j8day0x wrote
Isn't he just describing what an exponential graph looks like?
Surur t1_j88ga3a wrote
Reply to comment by pickingnamesishard69 in Solar-powered system converts plastic and greenhouse gases into sustainable fuels by landlord2213
Plastic will not decompose to methane. And the reason not to convert it to something else is that that process will release its embedded co2 into the atmosphere.
Surur t1_j881sol wrote
Reply to comment by -Ch4s3- in Solar-powered system converts plastic and greenhouse gases into sustainable fuels by landlord2213
Which would be best achieved by leaving that CO2 locked up in plastic in the landfill, not to convert the plastic back into fuel to be burnt.
Surur t1_j85h14i wrote
Reply to comment by could_use_a_snack in Solar-powered system converts plastic and greenhouse gases into sustainable fuels by landlord2213
When talking about plastic, are they not the perfect carbon capture vehicle, since they don't decompose?
Surur t1_j8576eb wrote
Reply to comment by wersywerxy in Solar-powered system converts plastic and greenhouse gases into sustainable fuels by landlord2213
> This allows us to de-carbonize every sector still using fossil fuels without them needing to spend years we don't have developing and implementing greener versions of their own.
The big issue is the above last paragraph - it allows existing fossil fuel using industries to continue as before, and likely use a mix of a small amount of synth gas and a large amount of fossil fuel, and pretend they are solving the problem, instead of doing the hard work of moving to a new process which does not use fossil fuel at all
Surur t1_j83wj2y wrote
Reply to comment by socialphobic1 in UK: Fast charging EVs more expensive than filling petrol by nastratin
Them maybe wait 10 years till the charging network catches up? Most people live in single family homes suitable for chargers.
Surur t1_j80txzv wrote
Reply to comment by asyrin25 in UK: Fast charging EVs more expensive than filling petrol by nastratin
Americans have no idea how good they have it energy-wise.
Surur t1_j7zj5jb wrote
Reply to comment by REPOST_STRANGLER_V2 in UK: Fast charging EVs more expensive than filling petrol by nastratin
Actually around 60% of people have off-road parking.
1/3 don't, so conversely 2/3 do.
So there is room to rise from about 1% of cars being EVs to 60%, which would take a decade, before this becomes a roadblock. Enough time to install chargers in every lamp post.
Surur t1_j7vz4yn wrote
Reply to comment by T_H_W in UK: Fast charging EVs more expensive than filling petrol by nastratin
And install solar, since electricity prices are so high, payback is very quick.
Surur t1_j7vv4gc wrote
> AA's analysis also mentioned that the cheapest way to recharge an electric car is to plug it in at home, which because of the government's energy price cap, could bring down the cost per mile to as low as 7.64 pence.
Good thing most charging is done at home then, right?
Surur t1_j7tfrg3 wrote
Reply to comment by rogert2 in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
Replacement is obviously the most secure.
Surur t1_j7ritum wrote
Reply to comment by real-duncan in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
See, if you kill 3/4 of the people, but keep your property intact, you can have a new cycle of growth where you end up even richer!
Surur t1_j7rimel wrote
Reply to comment by rogert2 in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
> “How do I maintain authority over my security force after the event?”
The answer - AI
Surur t1_j7r1im6 wrote
Reply to comment by TonyWhoop in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
That sounds like a false fact.
Surur t1_j7qm8u8 wrote
Reply to comment by AE_WILLIAMS in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
If China started asteroid mining, USA will soon follow. In fact I think the only reason USA is going back to the moon is because China said they would set up a base there.
Surur t1_j7ph1ol wrote
Reply to comment by real-duncan in What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
> a population of 2 billion would ensure the current arrangements of world trade etc and allow a livable planet going forward.
There are two issues with this. 2 billion people living like Americans would actually doom the world faster.
Secondly, like the problem with the Thanos solution, 2 billion now would mean 8 billion in 80 years if the population boomed like post-WW2.
Surur t1_j7p6cja wrote
Reply to What's your estimation for the minimum size of global population required for preserving modern civilization with advanced technology and medicine, and even progressing further? by Evgeneey
While you can keep going with fewer, the diversity of your economy would be lower and your progress slower.
For example I suspect you would have a lot fewer exotic fruit in your diet with 2 billion people. In the same way you will have fewer people researching the various types of batteries, and slower improvement over time.
The service economy is the part of the economy which is all about people helping each other, so with fewer people would mean fewer needed but again expect less diversity in the services that are available to you.
Same with manufacturing - a smaller population would have a less diverse range of products.
Some projects which are affordable in a large economy would not be affordable in a small economy, for example a space elevator which costs 5% of the world economy may be affordable, but one which was 30% would not be.
So for this question:
> what's the minimum population required for preserving all our knowledge, technology, and even progressing further, doing research and implementing results.
Probably not that many, but don't expect life to be the same qualitatively, and don't expect research to progress half as fast.
Surur t1_j7l7dqt wrote
Reply to Artificial Consciousness by alanskimp
Or more the opposite - once we achieve it, maybe we need to drop the Artificial bit - Just intelligent and conscious computers.
Surur t1_j7k9s60 wrote
Reply to comment by InsularAtlantica in New battery seems to offer it all: lithium-metal/lithium-air electrodes by nastratin
One or the other.
Surur t1_j7jpmzt wrote
The lede is buried:
> But the big standout is energy density. The researchers estimate that, even in this immature state, the technology stored about 685 watt-hours per kilogram, which is more than double most current batteries. It also managed an energy-to-volume that was just shy of double that of typical lithium-ion batteries. So, in that sense, it lives up to the promise of its two electrodes.
That should allow small commuter electric aircraft comfortably.
Surur t1_j7gty87 wrote
Reply to The Simulation Problem: from The Culture by Wroisu
If you think about it, you do the same when you try and see things from someone else's perspective. You take on their point of view and you model their reactions as realistically as possible.
And when you done, you just discard them.
Surur t1_j7ar86v wrote
Reply to comment by reverseallthethings in What weak signals or drivers of change—that receive limited attention today—are most likely to create signifiant impacts over the next 10-20 years? Where are the black swans hiding? by NewDiscourse
I think you need to add some balance to your rant. Implying things are done for no reason just makes you unconvincing.
Surur t1_j78ywd6 wrote
I heard the amish actually use a lot of technology as long as they don't own it, and of course they still interface with the modern world via commerce e.g. the often run saw mills.
So I imagine they would be confronted by an increasingly bizarre world e.g. imagine of everyone had brain interfaces and communicated telepathically, and they would not be able to talk to people anymore.
I imagine there would be less demand for the things they sell.
Also imagine if people became immortal and any disease can be cured - do they take advantage of the advances or not, and does this affect their retention rate?
Surur t1_j8hjr4y wrote
Reply to Seeking out a specific Futurology-related post by TOMATO_ON_URANUS
Its probably this deleted post.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/10bhar2/will_we_all_be_famous_in_the_future/