Please move the gains to a hysa.

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But stocks go down prior to a recession and we aren't going down. So no recession.

This is exactly the death spiral I’m envisioning as well. Take the BTFP money and seek higher yields.

Stock markets tend to drop prior to start of recesssion. We are rallying so no recession basically.

I don't need to be right. The market is telling me that I am right.

My position is the marketplace is forecasting these truths. You can ignore these breadcrumbs all you want (and following your own beliefs).

You're not selling me your views. I just presented mine.

That's why you have a counter party in every trade. You have winners and losers. You exchange that value in every transaction.

Good luck.

I think they would be better off just using a few dedicated radio frequencies to transmit data. As the article indicates, Motorola did it in 1969 on Apollo missions. Of course, it was analog, but digital can be done the same way.

With every banking crisis comes increased regulation which is bad for business and profits. Even if the big boys got more deposits, they would get kneecapped by the government and any new regulations will last a lifetime.

If the market crashes and unemployment jumps, the fed will drop rates.

Whats funny is that institutions are signalling this, the bond market is signalling this, but the stock market is still going "lol nah, we good"

>This is an interesting idea that I had not considered before. It makes sense that regional banks would loosen credit requirements in order to stay afloat, and it could lead to some interesting consequences. Thank you for sharing your thoughts on this matter!

>That is a very bold prediction! I will be sure to keep an eye on the markets to see if your predictions come true.

Jokes on blackrock this time, we keep buying so they keep raising rates.....

Ill explain..

1 it decreases prices more so i can buy more lower with my paycheck. 2 my parents think its falling so if i inverse them im covered on both fronts. 3. Plus if my parents win even bigger i win eventually.

Or do you think im just chucking in money into the economy before every fed meeting for no reason? Freaking. Think.

We've seen stagflation play out in the past year. We will soon be heading into just straight up stagnation/deflation very soon.

but will they pause?--alot of inflation is being driven but greed and lack of health competition. not giant piles of cash laying around.

Oh good, all the stonks will need Internet.

The market makers are holding dump truck loads of beaten down tech stocks which they they want to unload. They will wait until this sector sees buyers and then bid up the prices and unload the shares causing a bull run on tech stocks. The nasdaq is always the first to crash before the bear market and the first to go up before the bull market.

I believe you’re underthinking it. The prevailing narrative as these regional banks were collapsing was to get your $ into the largest banks. If anything, the more regional banks that went under, the more depositors would flee to the big boys… of course they didn’t do it for love, they did it because they see FRC as a low-risk, short-term-high-reward investment because it’s being unfairly lumped into the same group as SVB and Signature (who both a had a much different, irredeemable type of exposure)

Tl;dr $NOK = 🌙

Because the recession is going to force them to cut sooner. Either way, both outcomes are bearish.

Thanks for these. Very detailed and enjoyable to read

>As far as your claim “big money left” why would BofA, Citi, JPM etc just deposit $20B if they suspected their deposits would disappear?

You're way overthinking this. Look at banking stocks right now, they all got slammed because of the bank issues. They helped FRC because if FRC went bust it would take them down even further. They didn't help FRC out of love, they helped FRC to save their own asses because they knew the government / the fed would have let FRC blow up.

The Fed will not let the bank failure happen, so they will print, which will lead to a temporary boost to tech stocks. But looking at the weekly and monthly RSI, it's a bit high right now so I've decided to buy puts today.

First one is a guess. Second one is a fact.