IMO, AGI to ASI will happen incredibly rapidly… its the getting to AGI.

Do you really think stocks will survive a workless society? I don't see that as happening. AI and robotics can already replace a lot of jobs and even more will be replaced if we do not put a halt to this. Do any of you want to pay the huge increase in taxes that will be caused by people losing their jobs?

why?

How did you get plugins??? I subscribed to Plus and didn't get it >:(

> Amazing. In the very first sentences, you can tell that the author knows nothing about quantum computing:

Swivelchair journalism, their job is not to distribute facts but to propagate feelings.

Because the reporting is misrepresenting quantum computers by making them out to be some supercomputer, when in actuality it is nothing of the sort and there's already enough misinformation disguised as science journalism around quantum computing as it is. It makes me mad.

Further, what actual thing? Nothing in the article tells you the qubit count or any other relevant stat. Another user pointed out that it probably has 20 qubits though, which is completely useless since 20 qubits can be fully simulated on normal computers.

Not sure any of them will be impacted. I’ve been pet sitting. Easy work and can’t be replaced by a chat bot.

Great points.

It's not a rat, but it is a rodent.

DL Translate is significantly better than google. I wouldn't use google as a gold standard.

Cancer survival rates have been steadily going up for the last several decades. Although advances are slow they are there nonetheless.

Why do you focus on the reporting and not the actual thing.

Everyone around me is a doomer and is brought up on terminator/matrix. I feel i'm the only one optimistic about the future.

GPT-4 is significantly better, especially when it comes to story translations. Did a test on Japanese visual novel text, comparing human, gpt-4, google, and deepl translations, and it's scarily good, enough to change the translation industry type of good.

Edit: If you're on mobile and you can't see the GPT 4 translation, swipe left, it's a table.

I'm skeptical your last point. UBI is becoming a hotter topic, at least in the anglosphere. Hell, even the "evil overlords" of AI (who themselves are relatively powerless to stop a sufficiently intelligent AI from doing away with them) are interested in UBI. Money matters.

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/10p8unc/sam_altman_on_how_to_pay_for_ubi/

https://analyticsindiamag.com/path-to-ai-utopia-openai-founder-sam-altman-chalks-out-a-wealth-for-all-plan/

Current LLMs are not even close to having the intelligence of a 13 year old Where the F are you coming up with this?

Eh, from the LLM's perspective, all I am is words on a console, no? I don't think they have too much in the way of rich experience, yet, but it's possble for them to experience the world in some way we don't understand.

Regardless, I don't think that's necessary for general intelligence; what about people born blind? Deaf? Does that diminish their capacity as a sentient being? I agree that some level of connection with the environment is necessary, but I don't think it has to look exactly like the human experience.

I've tried using Bing Chat for translations before and it's done worse compared to GPT-4 based on my experience. There's a theory that it uses Bing translate instead of GPT-4, though I don't know how true that is.

It sometimes rejects translations as well, which I found pretty odd. Maybe it's because of the prompt? I actually did a comparison test on this on Japanese visual novel text, Humans vs GPT-4 vs Google Translate vs DeepL on this post. Most still prefer the human translation on that post, but I also did a blind test poll to see which one they think is better, and the human actually only won by 5 votes.

Edit: If you're on mobile and you can't see the GPT 4 translation, swipe left, it's a table.

Yep, it’s a joke; no way it’s gonna do anything useful except act as a training platform that could be just as easily simulated with digital simulation, as you point out.

They’d be better off applying machine learning (in the vein of AlphaFold 2, for instance) on a digital computer for serious R&D.

Well, unless they’ve made one hell of a breakthrough regarding coherence time. Even then, 20 qubits isn’t exactly a lot to work with.

John Carmack doesn’t get enough love in this sub

When ChatGPT is ready to replace us, it will also be at a point when it will be able to answer OPs question and guide our future

Then it's useless! 20 qubits are fully simulable on normal computers.

20 qubits, per Wikipedia. The Quantum System One released in 2019 lol.

Depends on what's needed I suppose. For a general chat-bot it seems to work fine, plus we'll get the opportunity to fine-tune 3.5-Turbo models soon which will be enticing at that lower price point.

I hadn't seen the OpenAI paper before, but it states it's about the coming decades; and that makes the Twitter thread more interesting because one of the authors is putting a hard date on 2025 for some of those innovations.

It's pretty easy to find flaws in the Microsoft Research paper. It's funny that they hype up its performance on coding interviews, but don't mention that it falls down on data that it hasn't been trained on explicitly: https://twitter.com/cHHillee/status/1635790330854526981

Admittedly, I'm probably more skeptical than most.