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Technology in general, and AI in particular, has been accelerating exponentially since the very beginning. In the early years and decades of exponential progress it looks really lackluster. The fact that we are starting to lose the capacity to keep up shows that we are hitting the street incline part of exponential growth.

The last few weeks had an unbelievable flurry of releases. The next big announcements we know are coming are:

Microsoft 360 copilot being widely available

Google work place AI tools being widely available

GPT-4 add-ons being widely available.

Each of those will have profound effects and well follow up with them as people and companies start automating heavily.

There are also plenty of items that are likely but not certain such as alternative models being created, new more powerful models being released, additional testing if the capabilities of SOTA AI, and new small but capable models being widely available.

There is the category of things that are still expected but not really predictable such as a true AGI, an AI that has escaped into the wild, laws about AI being passed, and some major company or small country being run by AI.

Of course this still leaves the category of the truly unexpected, the unknown unknowns such as an ASI, aliens finally contacting us now that we are sufficiently advanced, or being able to communicate directly with animals.

I agree, however I do think an AI will have to be FAR superior to executives to really threaten their power.

There is nothing to do. Accept it when it comes, protest for Ubi. It is inevitable and out of our hands. All of your hard work in life was for nothing. Accept it.

There won't be new jobs. We will mostly be staying at home chilling

Well, right now you can sort of tell if something was written by a skilled person. If AI can reach that level, does it matter? After all in capitalism, it doesn't matter how something was produced, as long as it was legal.

But the elite won't be interested in custom products. If everyone can get whatever they want just by asking, the elite will want things the old fashioned way. So for them it will matter. They won't read AI news. Paper newspapers delivered by little humans is what they want. No robots for them but human servants etc...

Most will be out of jobs within 3-4 years. Ubi is coming and everyone will be upper middle class

Not to be an ignorant dumb-dumb, but how'd you add your AGI prediction to your Reddit handle?

You can't, because AI won't replace jobs, it will replace entire business models. Whole companies will go bankrupt, and new ones using AI will take their place with much less human imput. Governments, and big businesses will be too late and rigid due to their bureocracy to adapt quickly enough. Startups with AI centered methods will take over.

If I made $10 million a year, but having an AI do my job made me $13 million a year, and I could just chill doing whatever I wanted, I'd consider it.

And you don't have to be such a dick, this is r/nostupidquestions.

Is it able to learn? That is make new information other than what it was trained on?

Thanks, I'll watch the Copilot 365 demo. I'm not sure if AGI will be able to make decisions by just looking at the company procedures etc. I think it needs to see how company decisions are made, analyze historic decisions and also understand knowledge that is not documented in procedures etc. Surely this can only be achieved by scanning employee interactions.

For people that work in at risk jobs, learning how to leverage AI is a short term solution for the next few years. That and skilled/semiskilled physical work. Its harder to build a robot than to download a software update.

I would just get GPT4 and talk to it every day to build an intuition of what it can do and how to guide it to do what you want.

Past that, I don't know

I'll put it very simply: GPT-4 copies us. Therefore, it can become as intelligent as the sum of our intelligence and wisdom. There will be a point, within the next 10 years, where it will have consumed all books, all movies, the entire internet.

But because it's a language model, it's incapable of doing anything new with that knowledge. Basically what I'm saying is that yes, it will become the smartest thing on Earth within the next 10 years, but it won't be able to come up with entirely new things. So we won't see a crazy exponential increase in its intelligence. Rather, we'll see its intelligence plateau.

At some point, we will make an AI that can actually create new information with the information it has. Then we can speak of scary exponential growth and intelligence that is literally beyond our grasp. But not yet.

Not yet.

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The definition of AI has changed over the years with the latest new software. The kind of software that controls the 747 used to be called Artificial Intelligence, since it could fly a plane like a pilot would. But then that kind of software become commonplace and calling it AI fell out of fashion. I think the same thing is now happening with programs such as ChatGPT. In another 20 years it will not be considered AI, maybe something else will, or the term AI will fall out of grace as it had for a long time.

Or you're looking at the wrong place in the graph. Perhaps we're living in a new age of enlightenment and we have a plateau of productivity to look forward to.

Several of these questions can be answered by watching the Copilot 365 demo. They will be using a database of some kind with all your company documents to inform the AI system.

> Well, it's an interesting perspective you've got there, but it's not entirely accurate to say that porn is the main driver of innovation. Sure, the adult entertainment industry has contributed to the popularization of some technologies, but it's just one small piece of a much larger puzzle. Technological advancements come from various fields like medicine, transportation, and communication, which address a wide range of human needs and desires.

> As for the male sex drive being insatiable, it's important to remember that everyone's experience and needs are unique, and generalizing like that can lead to misunderstandings. It might be helpful to take a step back and think about how much time we spend focusing on adult content, and consider whether that energy could be channeled into exploring other aspects of life or even learning about the countless innovations happening in other industries. Remember, balance is key in all aspects of life! 😉

Agreed. But you didn't really disprove my statement.

It has shallow understanding of language and other minds. It has a very long way to go before we get to human intelligence.

Hahaha

Nobody cares about these comments either. No need to be a dick about it