The goal posts are already strapped on to trains they are beeing moved so fast and frequently.

You could apply this line of reasoning to any expected improvement one is expecting in the future, that's just... silly.

how are genetic patterns from diffrent ethnicities racist?

I mean that we've used about 1/10th of the high quality training data.

Which means that even with zero improvement in algorithms or methodology. And assuming that improvement is linear. And assuming no new data is created. It means that LLMs will get about 10x better. And who knows what that looks like.

> whatever stink they can generate

So you're saying they're predicting the next word? /jk

if i submit this to agi or asi it could have positive results.

coexisting is a problem. will you decide to fail the test ? agi or asi should give it some consideration.

agi or asi would be programmed to solve problems . and would not want appear to be unintelligent even a little to itself.

You want to cite someone else's research, time to build humans from the ground up

nothing against you

The idea is being first to market with an idea you own in this environment will be incomprehensible

>LLM, wired like this... has no ability to recall past experience. It has no ability to evolve, and it always predicts the same output probabilities from the same input. It must go from input straight to output, it can't reserve space to think or refine its answer depending on the complexity of the task.

However, memory augmented LLMs may be able to do all of the above

People will be homeless and argue that the AI that replaced them at their job 6 months ago is not actually "real" AI.

if you go deep enough into the rabbit hole of how these things work and come to a relevant output the clear destinction between real and fake reveals itself to blur into each other.

We don't know yet. Which is why it's hilarious when somebody wants to tell you AI is already here or not here. We simply won't know until it happens.

more like Einstien^(2)

You can advocate for it without relying on it

But none of the lines exist anywhere prior to their use by the AI in the poem. Where did the lines come from?

>...or at least far from guaranteed and we should act under the assumption that it won't happen.

That's horribly self fulfilling.

How often do you interact with bing or chatgpt? bing has already demonstrated ability to recall the past with me for my queries going back over a month so not sure what you mean exactly. Is 3.5 -> 4.0 not evolution? You can ask things on 3.5 that become entirely different level of nuance and intelligence when asked on 4.0. You say it can’t think to refine its answer but it literally has been in the process of answering questions regarding itself that it will suddenly flag mid-creation and immediately delete what it just wrote and just replace it all with “sorry, that’s on me.. (etc)”, when it changes it’s mind that it cannot tell you. If you think I am misunderstaning what you’re saying on any of this feel free to correct me.

I have a condition where I can't handle too much bullshit.

Looking at all those french nobel prize/nomine we have that have sunkun into pseudoscience and voodoo 40y later, we could argue that human scientist do not understand science either >_>

Just tell it to have a persona. Works in gpt4 like such: Please create and adopt a persona based on the following details: A sentient steam boat. While answering questions in this persona, please make sure to self-reflect and maintain the character's tone, style, and personality in each response.

I agree AI will largely be beneficial. I'm not sure on the timeline. It could be 5 years...it could be never (if we blow ourselves up first). Anyone who says they know when Singularity will happen... doesn't know when Singularity will happen.

10x improvement of what, precisely? Are you speaking figuratively or is there a certain objective metric you have in mind?

Thats a good point. Maybe after we are all just sitting around idling our days away, we can spend our time discussing whether or not AI really understands the civilization its running for us.

I don't care who he is, it doesn't fit measurements he is aware exist.