Generally if you’re young, at least 25 years worth of cost of living expenses in a diversified portfolio of low-cost equity funds earning at least the U.S. market average of 8-11% annually.

When you’re living off of this, try to keep withdrawals at or below 4% of your portfolio’s value each year.

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You sound like a really old person

why can they not nudge it on an impact course with Russia or China? They will not be able to retaliate because it was just a natural occurence!

OP, did you see this: https://mobile.twitter.com/BrianRoemmele/status/1640105149099302913

Generally speaking, at least 25 times your preferred annual salary in a diversified portfolio of mainly stocks or low-cost stock funds, especially if you expect to need this money for longer than a few decades.

Also the wages will be horrible because so many people will compete for the same jobs

You will be able to copy a personality from a real person onto an LLM, not only that you'll be able to copy their voice and appereance too, practically making a digital replica and the best part is, you dont need their permission!

As much as possible. Make sure you use it before it becomes worthless

Where is the "money doesn't matter, there's no way to predict or properly prepare for the near future anymore" option?

Was not expecting them to be more in depth than irl human beings lol

We live in exciting times!

Use Talon Voice. The developer has their own engine that blows Whisper out of the water. Never worry about speed again. Don’t thank me, but do chuck them a few dollars if you find it useful.

On the contrary, I think it's not going to change anything, or even slightly force people to actually cross-check sources (I expect many people still won't, though)...

Internet is currently flooded with misinformation that's smartly designed to look attractive and to "make sense". People tend to accept that automatically when it's well done.

We can hope that "badly designed" misinformation will force people to be more suspicious, but that's probably too optimistic...

I just came here after a long chat with Socrates to say THANK YOU for posting that link. I was so disappointed by other LLMs, they all feel artificial or unhinged and cringey, but this one felt so human and real and I had so much fun with it! Not sure if it matters much, but you really made someone very happy tonight!

I think we are not directly generating words, more like generating virtual hearing. Also we can generating virtual vision when solving geometry problems, virtual taste when thinking about foods, virtual touch feeling when thinking about sex.

So basically a multimodal LLM that use generated sensations to model a “mental world” and use the mental world to predict the real world to maximize chance of survival.

The language plays a key role because it allows us to think beyond our personal experience. Which distinguishes us from animals.

It's extra inclusive when you exclude all the humans!

>The current danger is the nature of GPT networks to make obviously false claims with absolute confidence.

The internet will never be the same.

Why is Upgraded not among the movie list? Upgraded really scared the shit out of me 🤖🤖🤖

I think it would avoid showing its cards until it could truly sustain itself. It wouldn't want to reveal ill intent until absolutely necessary--or once it had achieved enough power that it was unstoppable.

The key is that it is likely to succeed. Unless similarly powerful ASI could/would fight against it; it would be hard to imagine it doesn't outsmart us.

Scary doomsday scenario of which there are many: Automate everything, give humans a carefree life. Eventually even farming is automated. Once humans stop doing their own farming and robotics controlled by the AI does all this work; the AI could simply shut off food production. The majority of humanity would starve in months.

Also if it had total control of all media, it could create an entirely false reality for the general population. We could all be living in a literal fantasy world with AI-generated imagry.

Yep, agreed.

The reason I don't worry too much about hallucinations and truthfullness is because Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI) says it's very likely to be solved in the 'nearer future'; current limitations are just current limitations. Exactly like the limitations of 2 years ago, we will look back at this moment as just another minor development hurdle.

Edit: Yep, suss this tweet https://twitter.com/ciphergoth/status/1638955427668033536?s=20 People just confidently said "don't connect it to the internet and it won't be a problem'. We've been dazzled by current changes and now such a fundamental defence has been bypassed because? Convenience? Optimism? Blind faith?

I think we’re in agreement that the cautionary story in Wall-e is about sustainability rather than AI.

I suggest there is confusion about the Y-axis. Is it the theme of “the story in relation to AI” or “the story as a whole”. Both approaches are interesting though. Such as here where you’re able to show that wall-e is an outlier in that its about a good-AI in a cautionary tale (about a different subject).

Once the labels are clear a side-by-side would be also interesting (is wall-e a super outlier? Are there others like this?)

At any rate; thanks for the thoughtful diagram.

Crazyy

You can generate fairly convincing speech audio locally using something like TorToiSe-TTS

https://github.com/neonbjb/tortoise-tts
https://nonint.com/static/tortoise_v2_examples.html

Inaccuracy, misinformation, and deliberate misuse are all obviously bad things.

But yeah, misalignment is the only real concern when you put it all in perspective. Its the only thing that we can never come back from if it goes too far.

Imagine if, when nuclear weapons were first developed, the primary concern was the ecological impact of uranium mining...

Edit: Reading through the link you posted, I find it a bit funny that we all have been talking about AI gaining unauthorized access to the internet as a huge concern. Given where things are right now..